by **Snowball** »
13 Nov 2018 10:33

NewCorkSeth Snowball

Six-game blocks are a COMMON way of viewing progress, also form

In terms of points per game, the three blocks show clear and unambigous improvement and that is FACT.

I didn't want to disturb your argument but this has kept me up all night. Is it really that simple?

I just mean that if we won the first 2 games of a 6 game block then drew the 6th we would be on that 1.16 ppg track but going 4 games without a win would surely make a difference to our form? Right?

I guess I just don't understand how you can equate ppg from 6 game blocks to form. Especially when the use of 6 games to show form on all betting and stat websites uses the immediate last 6 games rather than the blocks we are now using.

Well, first, WWLLLD is THREE defeats on the trot, not four, and a season of that would accrue at least 53 points, more likely 54, near-certain safety.

CURRENT form is commonly shown from the last six games, yes, so it is a moving average.

I used this 6-6-5 because CLEMENT has been doing it, talking in terms which clearly show he has been using the blocks as targets or markers.

Put it another way after six games our current form was 0.2 ppg

After 12 games our current form was 1.16 ppg

And our current form for this six games (1 game to go) is 1.4 ppg. If we beat Wigan our current form will be 1.67

Even if we lose it will be 1.16 for six games AND 1.16 for TWELVE games

If we draw we finish this six on 1.33 and will have had a 12-game haul 15 points

As I keep saying it is our opening six that distorts perceptions