by stealthpapes »
11 Jun 2025 13:17
Our ranking is possibly somewhat inflated; beating relatively good teams (i.e. top 15) in tournaments adds points.
Not really, the effect of a match depends quite heavily on two things.
*(perceived) importance of game
*gap between teams
using the example of England being 4th and playing a team in 5th or 15th, the difference given in the algorithm between the two is tiny (the key parameter is 0.50 for 5th and 0.51 for 15th).
Just eyeballing the algorithm you get more points for winning against the 'odds' than you lose for losing with them.
On a more subjective note, having watched/tolerated England since 1990, I find it mildly insane that the last four tournaments (SF - RU - QF - RU) get the level of criticism they do, when the results and outputs are basically the best in a lifetime. Never passed the semi-finals of the Euros before (and in 1992, 2000, 2008, 2016, it was genuinely thin gruel).