Worth a couple of Bob?

tilehurstender
Member
Posts: 81
Joined: 18 Jul 2004 22:26

Worth a couple of Bob?

by tilehurstender » 15 Jan 2019 20:00

Earlier today, Betfair offering 259/1 on us funishing in the top half.

User avatar
tidus_mi2
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 3764
Joined: 15 Jun 2012 15:24

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by tidus_mi2 » 15 Jan 2019 20:50

tilehurstender Earlier today, Betfair offering 259/1 on us funishing in the top half.

That is tempting!

User avatar
John Smith
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 3814
Joined: 20 Jan 2010 23:47
Location: We should never ponder on our thoughts today cos they hold sway over time

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by John Smith » 16 Jan 2019 09:28

tilehurstender Earlier today, Betfair offering 259/1 on us funishing in the top half.

Do you have a link to this?

Theroyalbox
Member
Posts: 969
Joined: 23 Sep 2012 15:29

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Theroyalbox » 16 Jan 2019 10:06

We would need around 1.98 points per game to meet the average 60 points for a top half finish. I'm happy to just avoid relegation for now. Still not convinced by anything, Saturday will be big test.

User avatar
Hendo
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 5456
Joined: 25 Mar 2012 20:53

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Hendo » 16 Jan 2019 10:11

2,500/1 to be promoted with Bet365 :D

They don't offer top half as a market though.


User avatar
WoodleyRoyal
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 3178
Joined: 16 Jun 2008 10:49
Location: Dave Royal I'm Coming for you! whats your IP today?

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by WoodleyRoyal » 16 Jan 2019 10:16

John Smith
tilehurstender Earlier today, Betfair offering 259/1 on us funishing in the top half.

Do you have a link to this?


Couldnt find one either however william hill are running at 200/1.. just put 20 sheets on it

epsom royal
New Member
Posts: 8
Joined: 29 Jul 2018 11:33

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by epsom royal » 16 Jan 2019 11:45

Got in on Betfair at 250-1

Hopeful
Member
Posts: 139
Joined: 21 Jun 2004 12:55
Location: In a filing cabinet

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Hopeful » 16 Jan 2019 13:31

Skybet offering 25/1 for us to finish with 55+ points

Or 11/2 for 50+ points

User avatar
John Madejski's Wallet
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 11517
Joined: 10 Apr 2005 00:22
Location: Anyone who lives within their means shows a serious lack of imagination

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by John Madejski's Wallet » 16 Jan 2019 17:53

1000/1 for a top six finish. Only 20 points to make up :wink:


Snowball
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 16007
Joined: 02 Jan 2009 18:35

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Snowball » 17 Jan 2019 11:18

John Madejski's Wallet 1000/1 for a top six finish. Only 20 points to make up :wink:



and if we managed that, we'd be huge favourites to win the PO's


What would it need? About 2.5 ppg?

User avatar
WoodleyRoyal
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 3178
Joined: 16 Jun 2008 10:49
Location: Dave Royal I'm Coming for you! whats your IP today?

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by WoodleyRoyal » 17 Jan 2019 11:25

wigan bests odds of finishing top half is 14/1 they are only 6 points ahead of us, the disparity between them and us @200/1 yesterday was madness.

Millwall @ 12/1 who are only 5 points ahead of us too

Glad I got in when I did the best odds for us have now tumbled to 125/1

User avatar
Stranded
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 10037
Joined: 14 Apr 2004 12:42
Location: Propping up the bar in the Nags

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Stranded » 17 Jan 2019 11:36

Snowball
John Madejski's Wallet 1000/1 for a top six finish. Only 20 points to make up :wink:



and if we managed that, we'd be huge favourites to win the PO's


What would it need? About 2.5 ppg?


Prob need 50 points from the last 57 to stand a chance, so even Gomes' biggest fan can write that off :lol:

As a rough guide:

Top 6: 2.65 PPG (73 Pts) W16 D2 L1
Top Half: 1.94 PPG (based on 60 pts) W11 D4 L4
Likely safety: 1.42 PPG (to get to 50 pts) W7 D6 L6

Snowball
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 16007
Joined: 02 Jan 2009 18:35

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Snowball » 17 Jan 2019 12:25

Thanks Stranded

The top 6-10 are quite competitive, and they might grind out lots of draws.

Perhaps 70/71 might make 6th?

What's the lowest total to make 6th place?


Snowball
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 16007
Joined: 02 Jan 2009 18:35

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Snowball » 17 Jan 2019 12:26

Stranded
Snowball
John Madejski's Wallet 1000/1 for a top six finish. Only 20 points to make up :wink:



and if we managed that, we'd be huge favourites to win the PO's


What would it need? About 2.5 ppg?


Prob need 50 points from the last 57 to stand a chance, so even Gomes' biggest fan can write that off :lol:

As a rough guide:


Top Half: 1.94 PPG (based on 60 pts) W11 D4 L4


W 12 D1 L 7... if we won at Derby, I could believe

GazzTheSpaz
Member
Posts: 52
Joined: 12 Jun 2015 22:09

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by GazzTheSpaz » 17 Jan 2019 13:00

Stranded
Snowball
John Madejski's Wallet 1000/1 for a top six finish. Only 20 points to make up :wink:



and if we managed that, we'd be huge favourites to win the PO's


What would it need? About 2.5 ppg?


Prob need 50 points from the last 57 to stand a chance, so even Gomes' biggest fan can write that off :lol:

As a rough guide:

Top 6: 2.65 PPG (73 Pts) W16 D2 L1
Top Half: 1.94 PPG (based on 60 pts) W11 D4 L4
Likely safety: 1.42 PPG (to get to 50 pts) W7 D6 L6


Looks like the league is tougher this year...

If we're going by last season 73pts wouldn't have been enough to get into the playoffs, Derby in 6th are on course for getting 73.2pts. So, if we're gonna get 74pts, we need to beat Brian McDermott's run and get 17 wins (Or W16-D3-L0) from the last 19 games.

To get top half, last season we would've needed 61pts, Villa in 12th are on course for 64.7pts. So to hit 65pts, we need 42pts (W12-6-0 / W13-D3-L3 / W14-0-5). Certainly possible.

Snowball
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 16007
Joined: 02 Jan 2009 18:35

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Snowball » 17 Jan 2019 13:34

GazzTheSpaz
Stranded
Snowball

and if we managed that, we'd be huge favourites to win the PO's


What would it need? About 2.5 ppg?


Prob need 50 points from the last 57 to stand a chance, so even Gomes' biggest fan can write that off :lol:

As a rough guide:

Top 6: 2.65 PPG (73 Pts) W16 D2 L1
Top Half: 1.94 PPG (based on 60 pts) W11 D4 L4
Likely safety: 1.42 PPG (to get to 50 pts) W7 D6 L6


Looks like the league is tougher this year...

If we're going by last season 73pts wouldn't have been enough to get into the playoffs, Derby in 6th are on course for getting 73.2pts. So, if we're gonna get 74pts, we need to beat Brian McDermott's run and get 17 wins (Or W16-D3-L0) from the last 19 games.

To get top half, last season we would've needed 61pts, Villa in 12th are on course for 64.7pts. So to hit 65pts, we need 42pts (W12-6-0 / W13-D3-L3 / W14-0-5). Certainly possible.


How about when we beat Villa?

GazzTheSpaz
Member
Posts: 52
Joined: 12 Jun 2015 22:09

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by GazzTheSpaz » 17 Jan 2019 17:09

Snowball
GazzTheSpaz
Stranded
Prob need 50 points from the last 57 to stand a chance, so even Gomes' biggest fan can write that off :lol:

As a rough guide:

Top 6: 2.65 PPG (73 Pts) W16 D2 L1
Top Half: 1.94 PPG (based on 60 pts) W11 D4 L4
Likely safety: 1.42 PPG (to get to 50 pts) W7 D6 L6


Looks like the league is tougher this year...

If we're going by last season 73pts wouldn't have been enough to get into the playoffs, Derby in 6th are on course for getting 73.2pts. So, if we're gonna get 74pts, we need to beat Brian McDermott's run and get 17 wins (Or W16-D3-L0) from the last 19 games.

To get top half, last season we would've needed 61pts, Villa in 12th are on course for 64.7pts. So to hit 65pts, we need 42pts (W12-6-0 / W13-D3-L3 / W14-0-5). Certainly possible.


How about when we beat Villa?


What and when Leeds get docked 70pts? 6th then

JR
Member
Posts: 352
Joined: 03 Apr 2006 12:53

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by JR » 17 Jan 2019 20:19

In last 9 seasons to finish top half has needed:

60 - 4
61 - 1
62 - 2
64 - 2

JR
Member
Posts: 352
Joined: 03 Apr 2006 12:53

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by JR » 17 Jan 2019 21:19

Odds are tumbling - Sky Bet just gone from 200/1 to 100/1 in last hour.

User avatar
Pepe the Horseman
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 11670
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 10:24
Location: Putting right what once went wrong

Re: Worth a couple of Bob?

by Pepe the Horseman » 17 Jan 2019 22:32

JR Odds are tumbling - Sky Bet just gone from 200/1 to 100/1 in last hour.

They must know something. Looks like it's happening guys.

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Google Adsense [Bot], karbota, NewCorkSeth, Norfolk Royal, Torbay Royal, yuomi and 84 guests

It is currently 07 Dec 2019 17:34