by Brain Traysers » 22 Nov 2018 01:00
by Brain Traysers » 22 Nov 2018 01:07
by Hendo » 22 Nov 2018 04:42
by Vision » 22 Nov 2018 08:37
Hendo Just an FYI to anyone who’s interested. The above data is from Ben Mayhew’s website https://experimental361.com/
As I feel like this should be credited somewhere.
Brain Traysers Meite sits nicely within the next group, among some elite names at this level – James Rodriguez and Tammy Abraham.
by NewCorkSeth » 22 Nov 2018 08:59
Vision
'greed. Credit should also be given for the bloke at West Brom who persuaded James Rodriguez to play in the championship.
by Brain Traysers » 22 Nov 2018 17:14
VisionHendo Just an FYI to anyone who’s interested. The above data is from Ben Mayhew’s website https://experimental361.com/
As I feel like this should be credited somewhere.
'greed. Credit should also be given for the bloke at West Brom who persuaded James Rodriguez to play in the championship.Brain Traysers Meite sits nicely within the next group, among some elite names at this level – James Rodriguez and Tammy Abraham.
by Brain Traysers » 26 Nov 2018 19:26
by Brain Traysers » 29 Nov 2018 19:07
by John Smith » 30 Nov 2018 09:18
Brain Traysers There has been a lot of debate over our central midfielders this season, and strong criticism of Kelly, Swift and Bacuna at various points. Helpfully, EFL Analytics first post covering the Championship looks at how centre mids across the league rank in terms of passing, using a couple of simple metrics (I've been a little slow to post this one, so the dataset is missing the last two games)
EFL Championship – Who are the Pass Masters?
Ex royal Oliver Norwood is performing incredibly strongly across all measures looked at – he seems to have really clicked at Sheffield and is a big part of their form this season.
In terms of current players, we perform surprisingly strongly here:
• Liam Kelly ranks 10th best for progressive passes in the league (forward passes + passes to final 3rd), at 28 per 90 minutes. Whoscored data sells me he is the only RFC centre mid averaging >50 passes per 90, and plays more long balls per game than the other CMs (8.3 o/w 3.8 are ‘accurate’)
• Swift ranks 5th overall for most ‘dangerous passes’ (through balls + passes to penalty area + deep completions) per 90 mins, at 6.9 per game. I think this solidifies how important Swift is for generating chances – he is one of the best in the league, and if we can keep him consistently fit we will make more chances. Squawka data tells me that for every backward pass Swift makes, he makes 1.1 forward passes – Bacuna and Kelly are at 0.6 - 0.7 forward passes per backward pass.
• Leandro Bacuna ranked 11th best for ‘Chance creation quality’ (xA per key pass), and Swift in 24th. Bacuna’s stats (and others') are almost certainly skewed by set pieces (1.8 ‘accurate corners’ out of 4.6 corners per 90 according to whoscored, also logged as 0.8 key passes from corners per 90). Squawka data indicates he has created 28 chances this season, and while only half have been from from open play, that is still enough to be leading Swift (13 albeit in 30% fewer mins) and Kelly (12).
Overall, some indication that offensively at least we are actually pretty competent at passing and creating chances from CM – and a few bits in there to challenge the ‘Kelly is a bad passer’ narrative. Defensive weakness from these positions still stands, and is a likely area for a future look.
by Brain Traysers » 20 Dec 2018 21:44
by Snowflake Royal » 21 Dec 2018 07:33
by Brain Traysers » 21 Dec 2018 19:59
Snowflake Royal I think you've just demonstrated why xG is a flavour of the month overrated crock of shit.
Any statistical model that says reality is wrong is pretty worthless.
by Brain Traysers » 28 Feb 2019 01:24
by SCIAG » 28 Feb 2019 08:36
by Brain Traysers » 28 Feb 2019 18:12
SCIAG I disagree with putting the difference between xG and actual G down to "luck". It can also reflect things like deciding to shoot or pass, and particularly the quality of your strikers and goalkeeper.
by Snowflake Royal » 28 Feb 2019 20:00
by RG30 » 11 Apr 2019 08:43
by Snowball » 11 Apr 2019 13:41
by Zip » 11 Apr 2019 13:50
Snowball Ipswich no odds
1/500 Bolton
2/5 Rotherham
5/1 Reading
8/1 Wigan
12/1 Millwall
Last game of the season maybe both Wigan and Millwall need a point and play a tippy-happy 0-0 draw
But it could very easily be winner-stays-up and losers is relegated.
Wigan are almost certain to need something there, probably a win
So I think they (both) should be much lower odds
by Hound » 11 Apr 2019 13:50
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